ALERT 2020 — Bi-Weekly Newsletter (December 15–26, 2025)
Edition: December 15–26, 2025 | Series: Legal Education Report
Informational Bulletin for Federal Inmates (Educational Purposes Only)
About This Bulletin
Since 2011, ALERT 2020 has broken down federal cases in plain English (and Spanish) to help you spot issues that may matter in your case.
This bulletin is educational only—not legal advice and not a promise of results. If something here sounds familiar, request a Written Case Evaluation (WCE)
so we can review your record and outline your best options.
Quick Self-Check (30 Seconds)
If you answer YES to any item below, a WCE may uncover a real issue in your record:
- Illegal reentry (§ 1326): Was your removal based on a conviction that may not actually make you removable?
- Drug quantity / guideline weight: Was weight proved by charts, estimates, “averages,” or summary spreadsheets?
- § 851 enhancement: Did a prior conviction add years/decades or trigger a higher minimum?
- § 924(c): Did the prosecutor argue “evidence” the jury never saw admitted?
- Restitution: Does the restitution number feel inflated or unsupported (especially IRS add-ons)?
- Jury confusion: Did the jury ask a legal question and the court didn’t clarify the standard?
Reading wins is helpful. Knowing whether any of this fits your paperwork is better.
I. Supreme Court Watch (What to Watch Next)
Next conference: January 9, 2026.
“Shadow docket” (quick definition): Emergency Supreme Court orders issued outside the normal briefing/oral-argument process—often stays or temporary blocks/permissions while a case is still moving.
New Criminal Grant to Know
Abouammo v. United States (Venue / Limitations)
Venue: Can the government prosecute in a district where no conduct occurred just because “effects” could be felt there?
Statute of limitations: Does a felony information without a valid indictment waiver still allow an extension under 18 U.S.C. § 3288?
Why it matters: Venue fights can be powerful—especially when the government “picks” a forum that helps them.
II. Favorable Federal Appellate Cases (Dec. 15–26, 2025)
A. 2d Cir.: Illegal Reentry Case Tossed — Bad Removal Order Stayed Bad
United States v. Ramirez Rodriguez, Nos. 24-2059(L), 24-2093 (Dec. 16, 2025)
The government repeatedly “reinstated” a 2000 removal order based on a New York drug conviction. But under Minter (2d Cir. 2023),
that conviction did not make him removable, meaning the original removal order was invalid.
The district court said later reinstatements/convictions cured prejudice. The Second Circuit disagreed: reinstatements aren’t new removal orders and can’t fix an invalid predicate.
Conviction vacated; remanded.
Use it if: Your § 1326 case rests on a removal order tied to a conviction that may not actually trigger removability.
B. 5th Cir.: “Fake Math” Drug Quantities — Summary Chart Can’t Replace Proof
United States v. McGuire (consol.), Nos. 24-40109 & 24-40111 (Dec. 22, 2025)
On rehearing, the Fifth Circuit criticized the government’s reliance on a Rule 1006 “summary” spreadsheet using unexplained averaging/extrapolation to attribute marijuana quantities.
The court warned against hypothetical quantities masquerading as evidence and remanded for resentencing for certain defendants under the lower default marijuana penalty provision § 841(b)(1)(D).
The court also discussed money laundering theories (Cuellar vs. promotional).
Use it if: Your drug weight was proved by estimates, charts, extrapolation, or “average” math.
C. 6th Cir.: Huge Restitution Win — “Actual Loss” Means Actual Loss
United States v. Clay, Nos. 23-3923 / 24-3038 (Dec. 19, 2025)
Health-care fraud case with nearly $7 million restitution. The Sixth Circuit vacated and remanded, emphasizing:
restitution must reflect actual loss, not a windfall; medically necessary prescriptions can’t be swept in; apportionment must be justified by statute (not “because the co-defendant’s plea says so”);
IRS restitution needs evidence, not a bare number; and restitution can’t be expanded beyond the charged scheme. Leadership enhancement issues were also sent back for clarification.
Use it if: Restitution includes unsupported numbers, IRS add-ons, or inflated loss calculations.
D. 6th Cir.: § 851 Enhancement Blown Up — Predicate Didn’t Qualify
United States v. Reed, Nos. 24-5135/5526 (Dec. 23, 2025)
Reed’s 25-year minimum was triggered when the district court treated Kentucky burglary as a qualifying “serious violent felony.”
The Sixth Circuit said no: it didn’t fit the statute’s clauses and the residual clause can’t save it after Johnson/Dimaya/Davis.
Sentence vacated; remanded.
Use it if: § 851 added years based on a prior conviction that might not qualify under today’s categorical-approach rules.
E. 7th Cir.: Bank Fraud Counts Reversed — “A Check Isn’t a Lie”
United States v. Robinson, Nos. 24-1910 & 24-2310 (Dec. 15, 2025)
Housing Authority kickback scheme. The Seventh Circuit reversed bank-fraud convictions under § 1344(2) because the government failed to identify a bank-directed false statement—
and “a check is not a factual assertion.” A clerical restitution issue was remanded for correction.
Use it if: You were stacked with bank fraud just because checks were used, without a clear bank-directed misrepresentation.
F. 10th Cir.: DUI Manslaughter Reversed — Judge Failed to Answer Jury’s Legal Question
United States v. Kirby, No. 24-7070 (Dec. 16, 2025)
Jury asked whether “under the influence” meant any intoxicants in the body or being incapable of safely driving. Oklahoma law requires the latter.
The judge told jurors to reread the instructions instead of clarifying.
The Tenth Circuit held: failure to answer the jury’s clear legal question was reversible error. Conviction vacated; remanded.
Use it if: The jury expressed confusion and the court didn’t clarify the legal standard.
G. 11th Cir.: § 924(c) Count Vacated — Prosecutor Used Evidence Not Admitted
United States v. Jones, No. 24-10938 (Dec. 19, 2025)
Jones received a 45-year sentence on drug and gun counts. The Eleventh Circuit vacated the § 924(c) count and ordered a new trial because the prosecutor urged conviction using an unadmitted exhibit in closing.
Other counts were affirmed.
Use it if: Closing argument referenced “evidence” that wasn’t admitted or the jury never saw.
III. Other News: Trump EO on Marijuana Schedule III (What It Can and Can’t Do)
On Dec. 18, 2025, President Trump signed an executive order directing DOJ/DEA to complete the legal process to move marijuana from Schedule I to Schedule III as quickly as federal law allows.
Key point: This is not automatic legalization and doesn’t instantly erase convictions. But it can strengthen arguments that marijuana punishment is out of step with current federal policy—especially for non-violent marijuana cases or sentences driven by marijuana weight—when paired with rehab and low-risk facts in a compassionate release motion.
Bottom line: Your record decides whether this helps you. A WCE can tell you fast.
IV. Written Case Evaluation (WCE): Turn Information Into a Plan
Court wins don’t help unless they match your case. A WCE is a written, education-focused review of your record (no legal advice; no guarantees), typically including:
- Procedural Summary (indictment → plea/trial → sentencing → appeal → post-conviction)
- Sentence Drivers (PSR facts, guideline math, enhancements, priors, mandatory minimums)
- Remedy Map (plain-English options that may fit your posture: § 2255, successive issues; Rule 60(b); compassionate release; guideline amendments/retroactivity; ETC/FSA issues; and other specialized pleadings—both federal and state)
To request a WCE (you or your family), send:
- Full name + Register Number
- Court of conviction (district/division)
- Criminal case number
- Reliable family contact phone number
Tip for faster help: If your family has your judgment/PSR or appeal number, include it—it can speed up the review.
ALERT 2020 — Outside Contact (Families / Documents / Scheduling)
Email: Newsletter@federal-alert.com
| Phone: (832) 346-0220
Compliance Note
If facility staff require formatting or wording changes to comply with security rules, ALERT 2020 will cooperate and adjust future editions.
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